L5.3 — Building a Multi-Year Capital Plan
A multi-year capital plan translates your measured expectancy and current account size into a realistic projection over 1, 2, and 3 years. It includes: starting equity, monthly trade volume, average R expectancy, risk percentage, maximum drawdown threshold, and projected equity at each milestone. It is not a guarantee — it is a planning tool that sets realistic timelines and prevents both impatience and overextension.
The plan should also include non-trading milestones: the number of live trades needed to prove the edge (50-100), the review cycle (monthly), the conditions for scaling up, and the conditions for stopping to review. A plan that only includes growth projections without these process milestones is optimistic fiction.
Review the plan quarterly. Compare actual performance against projection. If you are ahead of plan, resist the temptation to scale faster than the plan specifies. If you are behind plan, diagnose whether the gap is statistical variance or a genuine edge problem before adjusting the plan parameters.
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